---
name: V12 daily performance tracking
description: Day-by-day V12 live results, hourly patterns, and tuning observations. Updated 2026-06-03.
type: project
originSessionId: 134b99b4-5786-4626-9f2f-ae9714b5cbaa
---
## V12 Live Performance (started 2026-06-01)

### Day-by-day (settled trades only, BTC/ETH/SOL)

| Day | Trades | WR | PnL | Notes |
|-----|--------|----|-----|-------|
| Jun-02 | 50 | 64.0% | +$76.87 | First full day. ETH 79% WR star. BTC weak 50%. |
| Jun-03 | 30 | 63.3% | +$39.88 | ETH 70%, BTC recovered 67%, SOL dropped to 55%. |

### Per-asset cumulative (as of Jun-03, without BNB)

| Asset | Trades | WR | PnL | Trend |
|-------|--------|----|-----|-------|
| ETH | 24 | 75.0% | +$78.84 | Consistent star performer |
| SOL | 31 | 61.3% | +$29.14 | Declining (65%→55%), watch closely |
| BTC | 25 | 56.0% | +$8.76 | Recovering (50%→67%) |

### Hourly pattern (Jun-03, needs more data to confirm)

- **Strong hours (100% WR):** 00, 03, 07, 13 UTC → +$89.32
- **Losing hours (0% WR):** 09, 11, 14 UTC → -$34.96
- BLOCKED_HOURS is currently DISABLED. If pattern holds 2-3 more days, consider re-enabling for hours 9, 11, 14.

### Entry price sweet spots (Jun-03)

- $0.40-0.45: 66.7% WR
- >= $0.50: 72.7% WR (CLOB already agrees with signal = higher conviction)
- < $0.40: 50% WR (marginal)

### Balance

- Start: $96.68
- Current: $177.76 (ROI +83.9%)
- Discrepancy: implied from trades = $194.86, actual = $177.76 (~$17 gap, likely Polymarket fees + BNB phantom wallet impact)

**Why:** Track day-over-day trends to identify when parameters need adjustment. Avoid premature optimization on 1-2 days of data.

**How to apply:** Compare new day's results against these baselines. If SOL WR drops below 50% for 2+ days, raise momentum_threshold from 0.10% to 0.12%. If losing hours persist, re-enable BLOCKED_HOURS.